Building Your Rogue Radar: How To Spot Unexpected Peril And Opportunity
With all the time that companies invest in strategic planning, it’s surprising how little true strategy emerges. We see financial plans and near-term tactics, but few firms position themselves more than one or two chess moves ahead. Then unexpected waves of change submerge plans and upend the competitive order.
It’s all because of our culture! you’ve heard it over and over again. You’ve probably even said it. People fret about their companies’ struggle to position themselves for the future, and they lay the blame on their culture.
R&D is accelerating in the vital field of brain-machine interfaces (BMI). Elon Musk recently disclosed in a Clubhouse interview that at Neuralink, his BMI venture, a monkey is playing video games via neural implants. He also made some signature provocative projections like his ultimate goal of connecting brains with a powerful AI. “The future of the world will be controlled by the combined will of the people of the earth.” He said, “That might be the most important thing that a device like this achieves.”
When engaging in career planning, many of us end up unintentionally focusing exclusively on optimistic scenarios: “I want to do X, so I’ll do A, B, and C to make it happen.” Of course, there’s nothing wrong with a bit of healthy optimism. But to ensure your plans are robust, you also need to identify and mitigate the potential risks that could threaten your vision for the future — and nothing has shown the importance of planning for risk more clearly than the current pandemic.